Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1157.424454 1311.351707 1481.530786 1684.216723 1919.796280 2185.867637 2510.382804
2025-10-05 948.832734 1159.598757 1414.123383 1746.692040 2173.519765 2707.991237 3435.894149
2025-10-12 821.318921 1055.499375 1355.551880 1773.325199 2348.104966 3123.172987 4268.208781
2025-10-19 727.882751 973.192073 1302.632284 1785.446418 2488.683644 3497.468987 5094.832962
2025-10-26 656.178670 907.042344 1257.630680 1794.554709 2616.401836 3861.574392 5960.294670
2025-11-02 610.523039 869.811592 1245.578712 1844.916278 2805.846558 4339.137039 7083.754558
2025-11-09 568.362843 831.682153 1225.826218 1877.859331 2968.328317 4793.379184 8249.605707
2025-11-16 530.167054 794.684969 1202.371622 1899.689317 3112.208055 5234.060870 9472.907829
2025-11-23 497.124734 761.833671 1180.988243 1920.570476 3254.604816 5690.340846 10813.920042
2025-11-30 471.148506 737.360728 1169.898355 1956.267835 3426.083447 6223.884766 12419.157809
2025-12-07 432.071773 687.716051 1111.802760 1901.771335 3421.989130 6417.176928 13341.086041
2025-12-14 397.309133 642.268219 1056.485663 1845.658900 3406.279642 6582.559456 14232.461837
2025-12-21 363.502802 596.389143 997.485815 1778.450720 3364.223842 6695.942506 15052.608181
2025-12-28 352.857169 589.932661 1007.919364 1844.815048 3603.350542 7454.793129 17648.282268
2026-01-04 337.753793 574.152648 999.687416 1873.199142 3766.125925 8071.541873 20045.299653
2026-01-11 321.975657 555.780760 984.797700 1886.116432 3896.556966 8635.706219 22456.825401
2026-01-18 307.180815 537.996991 969.324627 1895.823599 4020.774949 9207.063276 25056.417312
2026-01-25 298.624282 531.198773 974.404654 1949.505528 4254.723623 10099.996732 28917.787835
2026-02-01 288.591456 520.744784 971.219306 1984.628731 4449.348713 10928.782257 32855.031016
2026-02-08 278.043183 508.457944 963.198865 2007.906929 4618.106455 11721.414747 36951.244310
2026-02-15 268.132107 496.678279 955.169313 2030.175948 4787.711661 12552.233443 41496.879068
2026-02-22 260.314301 488.512827 953.970928 2068.251731 5004.912683 13571.368431 47169.841115
2026-03-01 244.661455 463.293339 914.406899 2010.127214 4953.196813 13755.600834 49556.876615